You can drive away in this FTT token TODAY!

November 8, 2022

–Election day and 3-yr auction.  I’m leaving now to get to the voting booth (for the FIRST time today)  

–According to coinmarketcap.com FTX token FTT is down over 21% today.  Bitcoin is down over 5%, as there appears to be a run on FTX.  Binance is said to be liquidating its holdings of FTT tokens.  Citing the same website:
The global crypto market cap is $982.67B, a 4.56% decrease over the last day.

Not enough to get excited about, at its peak in November 2021 the crypto market was supposedly valued at over $3 trillion.  As a comparison, Invidia alone lost over $350b market cap, more than half its value, since December.

–Option activity on the short end favored upside:

BUY 60k SFRZ2 9575/9587.5cs 0.25
BUY 20k SFRZ2 9531.25/9543.75cs 6.75
BUY 20k SFRH3 9525/9587.5cs 6.5
SELL 30k SFRZ2 9537.5/9525.0ps 5.0
SELL 20k SFRH3 9550/9500ps 37.25

January FF settled 9557.5 or 442.5.  EFFR is 383.  If there’s a 25 hike at the Dec FOMC, then EFFR = 408, which would put the top listed call spread in play, depending of course on the Feb 1 FOMC odds.

If there’s 50 in Dec, then EFFR 433 (a price of 9567).  The second call spread listed, Z2 9531.25/9543.75 should fill in with only 50 bps.
If there’s 75 in Dec, then EFFR 458 (a price of 9542). Again, depending on how the Feb 1 meeting is priced, the SFRZ2 9537.5/9525ps should go out worthless.  Currently Jan FF give a slight lean towards 50 rather than 75.   
–There were a few articles about USED CAR price declines according to the Manheim index.  It had to end sometime….
https://publish.manheim.com/en/services/consulting/used-vehicle-value-index.html

Posted on November 8, 2022 at 5:20 am by alex · Permalink
In: Eurodollar Options

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