Powell flip. It’s amazing what a loss in equity portfolios does for perceptions of “neutral”
Chart below is SPX. When Powell said in an interview on October 3 that the Fed was a long way from neutral, stocks were near the highs. The front WTI Crude Oil contract was over $76/bbl. Now CLF is under $51/bbl. Large declines in both of these markets caused the Fed to re-think it, and we’re now “just below neutral”.


